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Economy

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The N.Y. Fed’s Recession Probability Index 1960-2020

The N.Y. Fed’s Recession Probability Index 1960-2020.PNG

Modestly Correlated Fed Fund Rate with the Relative Performance of EM vs DM

Modestly Correlated Fed Fund Rate with the Relative Performance of EM vs DM.PNG

Bull Market on 08/24/18

Bull Market on 082418.PNG

US Debt to GDP Levels Dec 1899- Dec 2017

US Debt to GDP Levels Dec 1899- Dec 2017.PNG

Federal Funds Target Rate v.s. S&P 500 Index

Federal Funds Target Rate v.s. S&P 500 Index.PNG

Fixed Income Securities Market Line, 2012 vs. 2018

Fixed Income Securities Market Line, 2012 vs. 2018.PNG

U.S. Yield Curve vs. Unemployment Gap, 1953-2018

U.S. Yield Curve vs. Unemployment Gap, 1953-2018.PNG

The Historical Decline of Global Financial Risk from 1981 to 2011

The Historical Decline of Global Financial Risk from 1981 to 2011.PNG

Number of Months from Growth Trough to Growth Peak in US Cycles since 1900

Number of Months from Growth Trough to Growth Peak in US Cycles since 1900.PNG

Number of Years until a New Technology was Used by 25% of the US Population

Number of Years until a New Technology was Used by 25% of the US Population.PNG

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