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China's deleveraging will further pressure the global economy

Submitted by Your Personal CFO - Bourbon Financial Management on August 13th, 2019

China's deleveraging will further pressure the global economy.png

Even with the budget deal, fiscal stimulus is set to fade

Submitted by Your Personal CFO - Bourbon Financial Management on August 13th, 2019

Even with the budget deal, fiscal stimulus is set to fade.png

Our U.S. recession dashboard points to recession starting by mid-2020

Submitted by Your Personal CFO - Bourbon Financial Management on August 13th, 2019

Our U.S. recession dashboard points to recession starting by mid-2020.png

Model based recession probability

Submitted by Your Personal CFO - Bourbon Financial Management on August 13th, 2019

Model based recession probability.png

30-year fixed mortgage rate

Submitted by Your Personal CFO - Bourbon Financial Management on August 13th, 2019

30-year fixed mortgage rate.png

Average of the four valuation indicators since 1900 (Geometric)

Submitted by Your Personal CFO - Bourbon Financial Management on August 13th, 2019

Average of the four valuation indicators since 1900 (Geometric).png

Average of the four valuation indicators since 1900

Submitted by Your Personal CFO - Bourbon Financial Management on August 13th, 2019

Average of the four valuation indicators since 1900.png

10-year nominal total return

Submitted by Your Personal CFO - Bourbon Financial Management on August 13th, 2019

10-year nominal total return.png

Q ratio and P/E10 adjusted to their geometric means with the real S&P composite regression to trend

Submitted by Your Personal CFO - Bourbon Financial Management on August 13th, 2019

Q ratio and PE10 adjusted to their geometric means with the real S&P composite regression to trend.png

Key contributors to NBER-Dated U.S. recessions

Submitted by Your Personal CFO - Bourbon Financial Management on August 13th, 2019

Key contributors to NBER-Dated U.S. recessions.png

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