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Predicting the top asset class from year to year is difficult since 1989

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EUR vs. 10-year EUR vs. USD interest rates differentials

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Cumulative returns during recent stock market drawdowns

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Early signs of valuation compression

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Stock/bond correlation (rolling 5-year average) since 1974

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S&P 500 index returns from 100th trading day until end of year since 1932

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History of global short and long term interest rates since 3000BC

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Growth-value valuations below long-term average since 1992

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Bloomberg US aggregate bond index YTD return since 1976: -9.5%

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$10,000 invested S&P 500 index 12/31/59-12/31/21

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